Skip to content

Value at Risk Calculator (VaR)

Estimate parametric value at risk from portfolio value, volatility, confidence level, and horizon.

Last Updated: May 2026

Risk

Inputs

$
%
%
%

Value at Risk

$56,201.51

VaR as % of Portfolio

5.62%

Z-Score

1.645

Trading-Day Horizon

10

Calculation Details

ItemValue
Portfolio value$1,000,000.00
Confidence level95.00%
Annual volatility18.00%

Investment Planning Notice

Results support education and scenario analysis. They do not provide personalized investment, tax, accounting, or legal advice.

Professional Review Status

This YMYL page has internal methodology review, but no external credentialed professional review is recorded yet.

Internal methodology review only
Reliance status
Credentialed finance review required before advice-like claims
Required credentials
CFP professional, CFA charterholder, CPA, licensed financial professional
Review scope
assumptions, amortization logic, risk language, offer-comparison language, affordability guidance, and disclosure placement

Current reviewer: Laxman Kumawat, Internal finance formula and engineering methodology reviewer (Electrical and power-system related certifications).

This page provides educational estimates, not individualized financial advice, lending advice, investment advice, or a product recommendation.

Finance credentialed review: professional reliance limit

This page provides educational estimates, not individualized financial advice, lending advice, investment advice, or a product recommendation. Results should be treated as a preliminary estimate, not a filing instruction, diagnosis, product recommendation, eligibility decision, or compliance sign-off. Required professional review: CFP professional, CFA charterholder, CPA, licensed financial professional. Source expectation: Review should cite official lender, regulator, tax, or standards-body sources when the calculator depends on external rules.

Checked by Laxman Kumawat

Value at Risk Calculator (VaR) is checked for formula labels, source links, and result limits.

Laxman Kumawat, Finance & Engineering Calculator Owner. Updated May 2026. Scope: financial calculators.

Finance credentialed review: Named internal reviewer: Laxman Kumawat, Finance & Engineering Calculator Owner. External credentialed professional review is still required before this page is treated as professional advice.

Internal finance formula and engineering methodology reviewer. Review scope: calculator formulas, input labels, rate assumptions, scenario workflows, and user-facing limitations.

Credentials on file: Electrical and power-system related certifications.

Relevant review context: Professional background across engineering, sustainability, and energy-efficiency work; CalculatorWallah finance and engineering calculator owner.

Required professional credentials: CFP professional, CFA charterholder, CPA, licensed financial professional. Scope: assumptions, amortization logic, risk language, offer-comparison language, affordability guidance, and disclosure placement.

This page provides educational estimates, not individualized financial advice, lending advice, investment advice, or a product recommendation.

Sources & methodology · Review standards

How to Use the Value at Risk Calculator (VaR)

  1. Step 1: Set Portfolio value

    Start with portfolio value such as $1000000 so the var calculation has the correct base.

  2. Step 2: Complete the scenario inputs

    Add expected annual return, annual volatility, confidence level, and horizon in days using the same period and quote convention as your source data.

  3. Step 3: Review VaR

    Read the var result first, then check the supporting values to confirm the formula used the expected inputs.

  4. Step 4: Compare against a benchmark

    Compare the result with a benchmark portfolio, peer manager, risk-free rate, or the same strategy over another period.

How This Value at Risk Calculator (VaR) Works

Value at Risk Calculator (VaR) applies Portfolio value × (z × volatility × √time - expected return × time) to the values entered in the form. Percentage inputs are converted to decimals during calculation, while currency, count, and list inputs keep their displayed units.

Risk metrics require consistent return periods and matching risk measures. Annual returns should be paired with annual volatility or tracking error. The result should be read with the example inputs and formula reference below so the metric is tied to the exact scenario being modeled.

What You Need to Know

Worked Example Setup

The default setup follows the page scenario: Estimate parametric value at risk from portfolio value, volatility, confidence level, and horizon. Start with these values to check the formula, then replace each input with your own source data.

InputExample valueHow to treat it
Portfolio value$1000000Use the portfolio value from the same scenario as the other inputs.
Expected annual return7%Use the expected annual return from the same scenario as the other inputs.
Annual volatility18%Use the annual volatility from the same scenario as the other inputs.
Confidence level95%Use the confidence level from the same scenario as the other inputs.
Horizon in days10Use the horizon in days from the same scenario as the other inputs.

Formula Reference

MetricFormulaUse
VaRPortfolio value × (z × volatility × √time - expected return × time)Normal approximation

Formula Terms Explained

The formula is only useful when each term comes from the same scenario. The table below maps the fields in the calculator to the values used in the worked example.

Formula termExample valueHow the calculator uses it
Portfolio value$1000000Used directly as the portfolio value term in the scenario.
Expected annual return7%Converted from a percentage to a decimal before the formula is applied.
Annual volatility18%Converted from a percentage to a decimal before the formula is applied.
Confidence level95%Converted from a percentage to a decimal before the formula is applied.
Horizon in days10Used directly as the horizon in days term in the scenario.

Worked Example Walkthrough

StepExample detail
1. Start with the example inputsPortfolio value: $1000000; Expected annual return: 7%; Annual volatility: 18%; Confidence level: 95%; Horizon in days: 10
2. Normalize the inputsExpected annual return 7%; Annual volatility 18%; Confidence level 95% are treated as percentages and converted to decimals.
3. Preserve list orderNo ordered cash-flow or value list is needed for this formula.
4. Apply the formulaVaR = Portfolio value × (z × volatility × √time - expected return × time)
5. Interpret the outputRead the var result with the supporting rows from the calculator widget before comparing it with a benchmark.

When to Use Value at Risk Calculator (VaR)

Use caseHow it helps
Portfolio reviewCheck whether return compensated for the risk taken.
Manager comparisonCompare active return, beta exposure, or downside risk across strategies.
Loss planningEstimate drawdown or value-at-risk context before sizing a position.

Interpreting VaR

The output evaluates return after adjusting for volatility, downside risk, benchmark behavior, beta, or potential loss.

A better risk-adjusted result means the return was more efficient for the type of risk measured, not that the strategy is risk-free.

Compare the result with a benchmark portfolio, peer manager, risk-free rate, or the same strategy over another period. Risk ratios can be distorted by short histories, stale prices, non-normal returns, or one unusually strong period.

Common Mistakes

MistakeWhy it matters
Mixed time basesMonthly volatility and annual return must be converted before comparison.
Overreading one ratioSharpe, Sortino, Treynor, and information ratio measure different risks.
Ignoring tail behaviorNormal approximations can understate rare losses.

Before You Use the Result

Review pointWhat to confirm
Same-period inputsVaR is easier to trust when every input uses the same time period, currency, and quote convention.
Benchmark selectedCompare the result with a benchmark portfolio, peer manager, risk-free rate, or the same strategy over another period.
Risk and cost reviewCheck taxes, fees, liquidity, downside risk, and data quality before treating the output as an investment decision.
Known limitationRisk ratios can be distorted by short histories, stale prices, non-normal returns, or one unusually strong period.

Keep the research moving with Sharpe Ratio Calculator, Sortino Ratio Calculator, Treynor Ratio Calculator, and Information Ratio Calculator.

Frequently Asked Questions

VaR uses Portfolio value × (z × volatility × √time - expected return × time). Risk metrics require consistent return periods and matching risk measures. Annual returns should be paired with annual volatility or tracking error.

Value at Risk Calculator (VaR) uses portfolio value, expected annual return, annual volatility, confidence level, and horizon in days. Keep those inputs on the same time basis and quote convention before reading the result.

The output evaluates return after adjusting for volatility, downside risk, benchmark behavior, beta, or potential loss. A better risk-adjusted result means the return was more efficient for the type of risk measured, not that the strategy is risk-free.

Treat the output as decision support. Real investment choices should also account for taxes, liquidity, risk, timing, fees, and professional advice where appropriate.

Compare the result with a benchmark portfolio, peer manager, risk-free rate, or the same strategy over another period.

Risk ratios can be distorted by short histories, stale prices, non-normal returns, or one unusually strong period.

Related Calculators

Related Guides

Sources & References

  1. 1.SEC Investor.gov - Financial Calculators(Accessed May 2026)
  2. 2.Corporate Finance Institute - Investment and Finance Formulas(Accessed May 2026)
  3. 3.CFA Institute - Investment Foundations(Accessed May 2026)